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Future Responses of the Burdur Lake to Climate Change and Uncontrolled Exploitation

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dc.creator Ulusan, Musa Denizhan
dc.creator Mert, Ahmet
dc.creator Tavuç, İbrahim
dc.creator Özdemir, Serkan
dc.date 2024-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.accessioned 2025-02-25T10:38:29Z
dc.date.available 2025-02-25T10:38:29Z
dc.identifier cc22a579-6a13-4234-985c-35fb5feb7e5b
dc.identifier 10.1007/s12524-024-02008-8
dc.identifier https://avesis.sdu.edu.tr/publication/details/cc22a579-6a13-4234-985c-35fb5feb7e5b/oai
dc.identifier.uri http://acikerisim.sdu.edu.tr/xmlui/handle/123456789/101391
dc.description The changes that have occurred over time in Burdur Lake, which is located in a large area called the lakes region in Turkey, have received extensive attention due to global warming. In this study, we have revealed the changes in the surface area and volume of Burdur Lake by using satellite images. Dams and ponds built on the springs feeding the lake, combined with climate change, have caused dramatic changes in the lake area. Temperature, precipitation, and city (center) population data that can be an indicator of these changes are provided and their relations with the changes in the lake are explained by expressing them over the years. By using the pixel values of the satellite images of the past years, time series analysis was performed for both the surface area and the volume values. The Arima model was used for time series analysis. Results of the time series analysis conducted for the Burdur lake predicted that the lake volume will decrease to 0 in the 2070s. On the other hand, as a result of the time series analysis for the surface area, it was seen that the existing areas decreased dramatically in 2100. It is thought that these decreases in the lake are caused by the unconscious use of water resources feeding the lake for agricultural irrigation and climate change. Time series analyses related to volume data were conducted using bathymetric. In other words, time series analysis was performed with two different datasets. Therefore, the results obtained between surface area and volume are similar but different from each other.
dc.language eng
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.title Future Responses of the Burdur Lake to Climate Change and Uncontrolled Exploitation
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article


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