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Pre-growth mortality of Abies cilicica trees and mortality models performance

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dc.creator Carus, Serdar
dc.date 2010-04-30T21:00:00Z
dc.date.accessioned 2020-10-06T09:49:01Z
dc.date.available 2020-10-06T09:49:01Z
dc.identifier 4461deeb-f649-4cd5-91a5-3c795efbc8ac
dc.identifier https://avesis.sdu.edu.tr/publication/details/4461deeb-f649-4cd5-91a5-3c795efbc8ac/oai
dc.identifier.uri http://acikerisim.sdu.edu.tr/xmlui/handle/123456789/58723
dc.description In this study, we compared tree-growth rates (basal area increment) from recently dead and living Taurus fir (Abies cilicica Carr.) trees in the Kovada lake Forest of Isparta, Turkey For each dead tree, tree-growth rates were analyzed for the presence of pre-death growth depressions in the study area (number of sample plots=11) in 2006. However, we compared both the magnitude and rate of growth prior to death to a control (living) group of trees. Basal area increment (BA I) averaged substantially less during the last 10 years before death than for control trees. Trees that died started diverging in growth, on average, 50-60 years before death. About 18% of trees that died had chronically slow growth, 46% had pronounced declines in growth, whereas 36% had good growth up to death. However, tree-ring-based growth patterns of dead and living Taurus fir trees were compared and used 12 mortality models that were derived using logistic regression from growth patterns of tree-ring series as predictor variables. The four models with the highest overall performance correctly classified 43.8-56.3% of all dead trees and 75.0-87.5% of all living trees, and they predicted 25.0-43.8% of all dead trees to die within 0-15 years prior to the actual year of death.
dc.language eng
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.title Pre-growth mortality of Abies cilicica trees and mortality models performance
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article


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