| dc.creator |
Örücü, Ömer Kamil |
|
| dc.creator |
Şen, İsmail |
|
| dc.creator |
Sarıkaya, Oğuzhan |
|
| dc.date |
2020-11-30T21:00:00Z |
|
| dc.date.accessioned |
2021-01-21T09:04:57Z |
|
| dc.date.available |
2021-01-21T09:04:57Z |
|
| dc.identifier |
c400e8aa-10cc-4ef6-999c-09b539b04179 |
|
| dc.identifier |
10.3409/fb_68-4.16 |
|
| dc.identifier |
https://avesis.sdu.edu.tr/publication/details/c400e8aa-10cc-4ef6-999c-09b539b04179/oai |
|
| dc.identifier.uri |
http://acikerisim.sdu.edu.tr/xmlui/handle/123456789/86864 |
|
| dc.description |
<p>Our study aims to model the current and future (2041-2060 and 2081-2100) distribution areas ofCarphoborus minimus (Fabricius, 1798) according to SSP2 and SSP5 emission scenarios. Current andfuture potential distribution areas of the species were predicted using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt)method and the MIROC6 climate change model. Finally, change analysis was performed to reveal thedistributional changes between the present and future distribution ranges of the species. Our study hasmade it clear that the most impactful bioclimatic factors on the distribution of the species aretemperature seasonality, isothermality, and precipitation of the driest quarter. Model results showedthat the suitable distribution range for C. minimus is western and southern Anatolia. Models presentedthat the species will expand its distribution area through northern Anatolia in the 2050s and 2090s dueto the changing ecological environment. In addition to that, the results of the change analysis showedthat suitable distribution areas for the species will increase between 7% and 13.5% with time.Therefore, the species can become a new threat to the forests of Northern Anatolia. As a result, stateforestry authorities should take precautions against this bark beetle species in the pine stands ofnorthern Turkey in the future. Moreover, land-use plans should be developed to prevent thedegradation of forest areas and to plan suitable trees for afforestation.<br></p> |
|
| dc.language |
eng |
|
| dc.rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess |
|
| dc.title |
Current and Future Potential Distributions of Carphoborus minimus (Fabricius, 1798) in Turkey |
|
| dc.type |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
|