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The effect of global volatility, uncertainty and geopolitical risk factors on international tourist arrivals in Asia

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dc.creator Tiwari, Aviral Kumar
dc.creator Ghosh, Sudeshna
dc.creator Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins
dc.creator Dogan, Buhari
dc.date 2022-09-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.accessioned 2023-01-09T12:00:27Z
dc.date.available 2023-01-09T12:00:27Z
dc.identifier 1dac8477-929f-4c94-83b6-ead5f905c5f4
dc.identifier 10.1002/jtr.2550
dc.identifier https://avesis.sdu.edu.tr/publication/details/1dac8477-929f-4c94-83b6-ead5f905c5f4/oai
dc.identifier.uri http://acikerisim.sdu.edu.tr/xmlui/handle/123456789/97627
dc.description The major tourist destinations in the Asian region are promoting and maintaining a conducive tourism environment. The susceptibility of the major tourist destinations in Asia to the uncertainties may encumber the arrival of international tourists. However, to the best of our understanding the research in this area is scant. Further though the tourism-uncertainty nexus has been widely explored in the literature, the deliberations in a time-varying and frequency-domain framework continue to be ignored. Thus, building upon the earlier deficiencies this study, investigates in a time and scale varying framework the tourism uncertainty/risk nexus for Singapore and Malaysia, two major tourist destinations in the Asian region. This article endeavors to investigate the role of world policy uncertainty, US Monetary Policy Uncertainty, geopolitical risk, Global Financial Stress Index and market volatility on international tourist arrivals in Malaysia and Singapore. To the best of our understanding, this study is the foremost to scrutinize the interrelatedness between these variables in a multivariate wavelet causality framework, from January 2000 to April 2020. Our results show that the global uncertainties manifested through different macro-based indicators affect international tourism demand for the destination countries. During the subprime crisis, Euro-crisis and the pandemics significant coherencies are perceptible. The major empirical findings of the impact of uncertainty indicators and geopolitical risk on international tourist arrivals over the recent period have important implications for policy makers and practitioners.
dc.language eng
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.title The effect of global volatility, uncertainty and geopolitical risk factors on international tourist arrivals in Asia
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article


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