Description:
<p>The aims of this study are to model past (LIG, LGM and Mid-Holocene), present and future(2050 and 2070) distributions of the Quercus vulcanica Boiss. & Heldr. ex Kotschy by using Maximum Entropy, and to predict suitable areas for the conservation of the species for future planning. MaxEnt distribution modeling was used to model distributions. Results for past bioclimatic conditions show thatthe distribution area of the species expanded and then contracted (LIG to LGM and LGM to HOL). Themodelling shows that the distribution range of the species will be narrower in the future. The species willbe facing extinction towards 2070. Therefore, the conservation status of the species should be evaluatedaccording to the present findings. Although the largest population of the Q. vulcanica is found in Isparta andAfyonkarahisar Provinces located in Southwestern Turkey, this area will not be suitable for the growth andsurvival of the species in the future. For this reason, a new nature reserve area should be established in amore suitable climate.<br></p>