DSpace Repository

Global, regional, and national age-specific progress towards the 2020 milestones of the WHO End TB Strategy: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Show simple item record

dc.creator Singh, Harpreet
dc.creator Remuzzi, Giuseppe
dc.creator Redwan, Elrashdy Moustafa Mohamed
dc.creator Reddy, Murali Mohan Rama Krishna
dc.creator Rawaf, Salman
dc.creator Ravikumar, Nakul
dc.creator Ratan, Zubair Ahmed
dc.creator Rashid, Ahmed Mustafa
dc.creator Singh, Jasvinder A
dc.creator Rapaka, Deepthi
dc.creator Rao, Sowmya J
dc.creator Rao, Indu Ramachandra
dc.creator Ramasamy, Shakthi Kumaran
dc.creator Siraj, Md Shahjahan
dc.creator Rajaa, Sathish
dc.creator Siswanto, Siswanto
dc.creator Solanki, Ranjan
dc.creator Solomon, Yonatan
dc.creator Rahmati, Masoud
dc.creator Rahman, Muhammad Aziz
dc.creator Rahman, Mosiur
dc.creator Rahim, Fakher
dc.creator Soriano, Joan B
dc.creator Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T
dc.creator Srivastava, Vijay Kumar
dc.creator Prates, Elton Junio Sady
dc.creator Prashant, Akila
dc.creator Steiropoulos, Paschalis
dc.creator Prasad, Manya
dc.creator Prabhu, Attur Ravindra Attur
dc.creator Postma, Maarten J
dc.creator Swain, Chandan Kumar
dc.creator Pham, Hoang Tran
dc.creator Perico, Norberto
dc.creator Perdigão, João
dc.creator Tabuchi, Takahiro
dc.creator Tampa, Mircea
dc.creator Tamuzi, Jacques JL Lukenze
dc.creator Tat, Nathan Y
dc.creator Peprah, Prince
dc.creator Pepito, Veincent Christian Filipino
dc.creator Peng, Minjin
dc.creator Tavakoli Oliaee, Razieh
dc.creator Pawar, Shrikant
dc.creator Patil, Shankargouda
dc.creator Parthasarathi, Ashwaghosha
dc.creator Teklay, Gebrehiwot
dc.creator Park, Seoyeon
dc.creator Tesfaye, Edosa Geta
dc.creator Parikh, Romil R
dc.creator Tessema, Belay
dc.creator Thangaraju, Pugazhenthan
dc.creator Thapar, Rekha
dc.creator Thum, Chern Choong Chern
dc.creator Ticoalu, Jansje Henny Vera
dc.creator Tleyjeh, Imad M
dc.creator Parija, Pragyan Paramita
dc.creator P A, Mahesh Padukudru
dc.creator Ouyahia, Amel
dc.creator Osuagwu, Uchechukwu Levi
dc.creator Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan
dc.creator Toma, Temesgen Mohammed
dc.creator Tram, Khai Hoan
dc.creator Udoakang, Aniefiok John
dc.creator Umar, Tungki Pratama
dc.creator Ortiz-Brizuela, Edgar
dc.creator Umeokonkwo, Chukwuma David
dc.creator Vahabi, Seyed Mohammad
dc.creator Vaithinathan, Asokan Govindaraj
dc.creator van Boven, Job F M
dc.creator Oren, Eyal
dc.creator Okonji, Osaretin Christabel
dc.creator Okereke, Chukwuma O
dc.creator Oh, In-Hwan
dc.creator Odukoya, Oluwakemi Ololade
dc.creator Odo, Daniel Bogale Odo
dc.creator Odetokun, Ismail A
dc.creator Obamiro, Kehinde O
dc.creator Varthya, Shoban Babu
dc.creator Oancea, Bogdan
dc.creator Wang, Ziyue
dc.creator Warsame, Muktar S A
dc.creator Nomura, Shuhei
dc.creator Westerman, Ronny
dc.creator Wonde, Tewodros Eshete
dc.creator Yaghoubi, Sajad
dc.creator Yi, Siyan
dc.creator Noman, Efaq Ali
dc.creator Yon, Dong Keon
dc.creator Yonemoto, Naohiro
dc.creator Yu, Chuanhua
dc.creator Zakham, Fathiah
dc.creator Zangiabadian, Moein
dc.creator Zeukeng, Francis
dc.creator Zhang, Haijun
dc.creator Zhao, Yang
dc.creator Zheng, Peng
dc.creator Zielińska, Magdalena
dc.creator Salomon, Joshua A
dc.creator Nnyanzi, Lawrence Achilles
dc.creator Reiner Jr, Robert C
dc.creator Nnaji, Chukwudi A
dc.creator Naghavi, Mohsen
dc.creator Niazi, Robina Khan
dc.creator Vos, Theo
dc.creator Nguyen, Van Thanh
dc.creator Hay, Simon I
dc.creator Nguyen, Dang H
dc.creator Murray, Christopher J L
dc.creator Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe
dc.creator Negash, Hadush
dc.creator Nayak, Biswa Prakash
dc.creator Natto, Zuhair S
dc.creator Nair, Tapas Sadasivan
dc.creator Nair, Sanjeev
dc.creator Naik, Gurudatta
dc.creator Naik, Ganesh R
dc.creator Naghavi, Pirouz
dc.creator Nagarajan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman
dc.creator Muthusamy, Raman
dc.creator Musaigwa, Fungai
dc.creator Mulita, Francesk
dc.creator Mousavi, Parsa
dc.creator Moore, Catrin E
dc.creator Monasta, Lorenzo
dc.creator Mokdad, Ali H
dc.creator Xu, Yvonne Yiru
dc.creator Mohammed, Hussen
dc.creator Ross, Jennifer M
dc.creator Moazen, Babak
dc.creator Mithra, Prasanna
dc.creator Misra, Arup Kumar
dc.creator Misra, Sanjeev
dc.creator Abbastabar, Hedayat
dc.creator Mhlanga, Laurette
dc.creator Abdoun, Meriem
dc.creator Mestrovic, Tomislav
dc.creator Merza, Muayad Aghali
dc.creator Menezes, Ritesh G
dc.creator Mendoza, Walter
dc.creator Memish, Ziad A
dc.creator Mehrotra, Ravi
dc.creator Maude, Richard James
dc.creator Mathur, Vasundhara
dc.creator Masoumi-Asl, Hossein
dc.creator Marzo, Roy Rillera
dc.creator Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio
dc.creator Martinez-Guerra, Bernardo Alfonso
dc.creator Manilal, Aseer
dc.creator Mallhi, Tauqeer Hussain
dc.creator Malinga, Lesibana Anthony
dc.creator Abdulah, Deldar Morad
dc.creator Malik, Muhammad Sajeel Ahmed
dc.creator Malhotra, Kashish
dc.creator LeGrand, Kate E
dc.creator Novotney, Amanda
dc.creator Malakan Rad, Elaheh
dc.creator Majeed, Azeem
dc.creator Mahboobipour, Amir Ali
dc.creator Mahajan, Preetam Bhalchandra
dc.creator Lv, Hengliang
dc.creator Luo, Hong
dc.creator Lopukhov, Platon D
dc.creator Vongpradith, Avina
dc.creator Liu, Xuefeng
dc.creator Liu, Chaojie
dc.creator Lim, Stephen S
dc.creator Lerango, Temesgen L
dc.creator Lee, Seung Won
dc.creator Aboagye, Richard Gyan
dc.creator Abolhassani, Hassan
dc.creator Chu, Huong Thi
dc.creator Lee, Munjae
dc.creator Ledda, Caterina
dc.creator Abrha, Woldu Aberhe
dc.creator Basting, Ann V L
dc.creator Abubaker Ali, Hiwa
dc.creator Abu-Gharbieh, Eman
dc.creator Le, Thao Thi Thu
dc.creator Le, Trang Diep Thanh
dc.creator Aburuz, Salahdein
dc.creator Addo, Isaac Yeboah
dc.creator Latief, Kamaluddin
dc.creator Landires, Iván
dc.creator Adepoju, Abiola Victor
dc.creator Adhikari, Kishor
dc.creator Lal, Dharmesh Kumar
dc.creator Kumar, Nithin
dc.creator Kulimbet, Mukhtar
dc.creator Kuddus, Md Abdul
dc.creator Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah
dc.creator Kucuk Bicer, Burcu
dc.creator Krishan, Kewal
dc.creator Adra, Saryia
dc.creator Afework, Abel
dc.creator Aghamiri, Shahin
dc.creator Koulmane Laxminarayana, Sindhura Lakshmi
dc.creator Agyemang-Duah, Williams
dc.creator Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku
dc.creator Ahmad, Danish
dc.creator Ahmad, Sajjad
dc.creator Zhang, Meixin
dc.creator Ma, Jianing
dc.creator Ahmadzade, Amir Mahmoud
dc.creator Ahmed, Haroon
dc.creator Ahmed, Mohammed
dc.creator Ledesma, Jorge R
dc.creator Ahmed, Ayman
dc.creator Akinosoglou, Karolina
dc.creator AL-Ahdal, Tareq Mohammed Ali
dc.creator Alam, Nazmul
dc.creator Albashtawy, Mohammed
dc.creator Koul, Parvaiz A
dc.creator Kosen, Soewarta
dc.creator Kim, Min Seo
dc.creator AlBataineh, Mohammad T
dc.creator Khatami, Fatemeh
dc.creator Khatab, Khaled
dc.creator Al-Gheethi, Adel Ali Saeed
dc.creator Khan Suheb, Mahammed Ziauddin
dc.creator Ali, Abid
dc.creator Khan, M Nuruzzaman
dc.creator Ali, Endale Alemayehu
dc.creator Khan, Yusra H
dc.creator Ali, Liaqat
dc.creator Khamesipour, Faham
dc.creator Khajuria, Himanshu
dc.creator Ali, Zahid
dc.creator Kaur, Navjot
dc.creator Kaur, Rimple Jeet
dc.creator Kassa, Gebrehiwot G
dc.creator Ali, Syed Shujait Shujait
dc.creator Karimi Behnagh, Arman
dc.creator Karaye, Ibraheem M
dc.creator Kantar, Rami S
dc.creator Kanmodi, Kehinde Kazeem
dc.creator Kandel, Himal
dc.creator Kanchan, Tanuj
dc.creator Kamble, Bhushan Dattatray
dc.creator Kabir, Zubair
dc.creator Joshua, Charity Ehimwenma
dc.creator Joseph, Nitin
dc.creator Jonas, Jost B
dc.creator Allel, Kasim
dc.creator Altaf, Awais
dc.creator Al-Tawfiq, Jaffar A
dc.creator Alvis-Guzman, Nelson
dc.creator Alvis-Zakzuk, Nelson J.
dc.creator Amani, Reza
dc.creator Jomehzadeh, Nabi
dc.creator Amusa, Ganiyu Adeniyi
dc.creator Amzat, Jimoh
dc.creator Andrews, Jason R
dc.creator Anil, Abhishek
dc.creator Anwer, Razique
dc.creator Aravkin, Aleksandr Y
dc.creator Areda, Damelash
dc.creator Artamonov, Anton A
dc.creator Janodia, Manthan Dilipkumar
dc.creator Jalili, Mahsa
dc.creator Jakovljevic, Mihajlo
dc.creator Jafarzadeh, Abdollah
dc.creator Aruleba, Raphael Taiwo
dc.creator Asemahagn, Mulusew A
dc.creator Atre, Sachin R
dc.creator Aujayeb, Avinash
dc.creator Cruz-Martins, Natália
dc.creator Ismail, Faisal
dc.creator Ismail, Nahlah Elkudssiah
dc.creator Azadi, Davood
dc.creator Islam, Md. Rabiul
dc.creator Ilic, Milena D.
dc.creator Ilic, Irena M.
dc.creator Ikuta, Kevin S
dc.creator Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel
dc.creator Huynh, Hong-Han
dc.creator Hostiuc, Sorin
dc.creator Hostiuc, Mihaela
dc.creator Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi
dc.creator Hossain, Md. Belal
dc.creator Horita, Nobuyuki
dc.creator Azadnajafabad, Sina
dc.creator Azzam, Ahmed Y
dc.creator Badar, Muhammad
dc.creator Hong, Sung Hwi
dc.creator Hezam, Kamal
dc.creator Haubold, Johannes
dc.creator Hassan, Shoaib
dc.creator Hasan, Rumina Syeda
dc.creator Harapan, Harapan
dc.creator Hanif, Asif
dc.creator Shittu, Aminu
dc.creator Shirzad-Aski, Hesamaddin
dc.creator Silva, João Pedro
dc.creator Shetty, Ranjitha S
dc.creator Sherchan, Samendra P
dc.creator Sharath, Medha
dc.creator Shanawaz, Mohd
dc.creator Shamshirgaran, Mohammad Ali
dc.creator Sham, Sunder
dc.creator Shaikh, Masood Ali
dc.creator Shahid, Samiah
dc.creator Shah, Pritik A
dc.creator Senthilkumaran, Subramanian
dc.creator Senapati, Sabyasachi
dc.creator Selvaraj, Siddharthan
dc.creator Sawyer, Susan M
dc.creator Saravanan, Aswini
dc.creator Sanjeev, Rama Krishna
dc.creator Samodra, Yoseph Leonardo
dc.creator Samadzadeh, Sara
dc.creator Samadi Kafil, Hossein
dc.creator Saleh, Mohamed A
dc.creator Nicholson, Sneha Ingle
dc.creator Saleem, Samreen
dc.creator Salami, Afeez Abolarinwa
dc.creator Salam, Nasir
dc.creator Sahoo, Soumya Swaroop
dc.creator Sahiledengle, Biniyam
dc.creator Sahebkar, Amirhossein
dc.creator Saheb Sharif-Askari, Fatemeh
dc.creator Singh, Surjit
dc.creator Saheb Sharif-Askari, Narjes
dc.creator Safi, Sher Zaman
dc.creator Saeed, Umar
dc.creator Saddik, Basema
dc.creator Sabour, Siamak
dc.creator Stafford, Lauryn K
dc.creator Carter, Austin
dc.creator Ruela, Guilherme de Andrade
dc.creator Singh, Paramdeep
dc.creator Roy, Priyanka
dc.creator Rodrigues, Mónica
dc.creator Dai, Xiaochen
dc.creator Rezahosseini, Omid
dc.creator Rezaeian, Mohsen
dc.creator Rezaei, Nazila
dc.creator Reyes, Luis Felipe
dc.creator Bhardwaj, Pankaj
dc.creator Effendi, Diyan Ermawan
dc.creator Bhargava, Ashish
dc.creator Bhat, Vivek
dc.creator Bhatti, Jasvinder Singh
dc.creator Efendi, Ferry
dc.creator Ed-Dra, Abdelaziz
dc.creator Bhatti, Gurjit Kaur
dc.creator Bikbov, Boris
dc.creator Dziedzic, Arkadiusz Marian
dc.creator Dube, John
dc.creator Bitra, Veera R
dc.creator Bjegovic-Mikanovic, Vesna
dc.creator Buonsenso, Danilo
dc.creator Dsouza, Haneil Larson
dc.creator Dongarwar, Deepa
dc.creator Do, Thao Huynh Phuong
dc.creator Burkart, Katrin
dc.creator Bustanji, Yasser
dc.creator Butt, Zahid A
dc.creator Dhingra, Sameer
dc.creator Camargos, Paulo
dc.creator Dhama, Kuldeep
dc.creator Cao, Yu
dc.creator Carr, Sinclair
dc.creator Carvalho, Felix
dc.creator Cegolon, Luca
dc.creator Dhali, Arkadeep
dc.creator Devanbu, Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan
dc.creator Cenderadewi, Muthia
dc.creator YİĞİT, Vahit
dc.creator Desai, Hardik Dineshbhai
dc.creator Deribe, Kebede
dc.creator Derese, Awoke Masrie Asrat
dc.creator Demissie, Solomon
dc.creator Cevik, Muge
dc.creator Chahine, Yaacoub
dc.creator Chattu, Vijay Kumar
dc.creator Ching, Patrick R
dc.creator Demisse, Biniyam
dc.creator Demessa, Berecha Hundessa
dc.creator Dashti, Mahmood
dc.creator Chopra, Hitesh
dc.creator Darwesh, Aso Mohammad
dc.creator Darega Gela, Jiregna
dc.creator Darban, Isaac
dc.creator Chung, Eunice
dc.creator Dadras, Omid
dc.creator Claassens, Mareli M
dc.creator Dadana, Sriharsha
dc.creator Coberly, Kaleb
dc.creator Dabo, Bashir
dc.creator Siddig, Emmanuel Edwar
dc.creator Hamidi, Samer
dc.creator Badiye, Ashish D
dc.creator Hailu, Wase Benti
dc.creator Bagherieh, Sara
dc.creator Hailu, Semira Goitom
dc.creator Hagins, Hailey
dc.creator Bahadorikhalili, Saeed
dc.creator Gupta, Sapna
dc.creator Baig, Atif Amin
dc.creator Gupta, Vivek Kumar
dc.creator Banach, Maciej
dc.creator Banik, Biswajit
dc.creator Gupta, Veer Bala
dc.creator Gultom, Novianti Br
dc.creator Guled, Rashid Abdi
dc.creator Gudeta, Mesay Dechasa
dc.creator Guan, Shi-Yang
dc.creator Goyal, Anmol
dc.creator Goodridge, Amador
dc.creator Ghazy, Ramy Mohamed
dc.creator Bardhan, Mainak
dc.creator Ghassemi, Fariba
dc.creator Barqawi, Hiba Jawdat
dc.creator Ghaffari, Kazem
dc.creator Gebrekidan, Kahsu Gebrekirstos
dc.creator Gebrehiwot, Mesfin
dc.creator Gebregergis, Miglas W
dc.creator Gautam, Rupesh K
dc.creator Gandhi, Aravind P
dc.creator Gaipov, Abduzhappar
dc.creator Fischer, Florian
dc.creator Fetensa, Getahun
dc.creator Basharat, Zarrin
dc.creator Baskaran, Pritish
dc.creator Basu, Saurav
dc.creator Beiranvand, Maryam
dc.creator Belete, Melaku Ashagrie
dc.creator Feizkhah, Alireza
dc.creator Fahim, Ayesha
dc.creator Fagbamigbe, Adeniyi Francis
dc.creator Engelbert Bain, Luchuo
dc.creator Emeto, Theophilus I
dc.creator Elilo, Legesse Tesfaye
dc.creator Elhadi, Muhammed
dc.creator Belew, Makda Abate
dc.creator Belgaumi, Uzma Iqbal
dc.creator Ekundayo, Temitope Cyrus
dc.creator Ekadinata, Nopryan
dc.creator Beloukas, Apostolos
dc.creator Eftekharimehrabad, Aziz
dc.creator Bettencourt, Paulo J G
dc.creator Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth
dc.creator Bhardwaj, Nikha
dc.date 2024-07-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.accessioned 2025-02-25T10:37:15Z
dc.date.available 2025-02-25T10:37:15Z
dc.identifier ba731bc9-7b89-458b-9ecf-98ce8f79293e
dc.identifier 10.1016/s1473-3099(24)00007-0
dc.identifier https://avesis.sdu.edu.tr/publication/details/ba731bc9-7b89-458b-9ecf-98ce8f79293e/oai
dc.identifier.uri http://acikerisim.sdu.edu.tr/xmlui/handle/123456789/101148
dc.description Background: Global evaluations of the progress towards the WHO End TB Strategy 2020 interim milestones on mortality (35% reduction) and incidence (20% reduction) have not been age specific. We aimed to assess global, regional, and national-level burdens of and trends in tuberculosis and its risk factors across five separate age groups, from 1990 to 2021, and to report on age-specific progress between 2015 and 2020. Methods: We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021 (GBD 2021) analytical framework to compute age-specific tuberculosis mortality and incidence estimates for 204 countries and territories (1990–2021 inclusive). We quantified tuberculosis mortality among individuals without HIV co-infection using 22 603 site-years of vital registration data, 1718 site-years of verbal autopsy data, 825 site-years of sample-based vital registration data, 680 site-years of mortality surveillance data, and 9 site-years of minimally invasive tissue sample (MITS) diagnoses data as inputs into the Cause of Death Ensemble modelling platform. Age-specific HIV and tuberculosis deaths were established with a population attributable fraction approach. We analysed all available population-based data sources, including prevalence surveys, annual case notifications, tuberculin surveys, and tuberculosis mortality, in DisMod-MR 2.1 to produce internally consistent age-specific estimates of tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality. We also estimated age-specific tuberculosis mortality without HIV co-infection that is attributable to the independent and combined effects of three risk factors (smoking, alcohol use, and diabetes). As a secondary analysis, we examined the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tuberculosis mortality without HIV co-infection by comparing expected tuberculosis deaths, modelled with trends in tuberculosis deaths from 2015 to 2019 in vital registration data, with observed tuberculosis deaths in 2020 and 2021 for countries with available cause-specific mortality data. Findings: We estimated 9·40 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 8·36 to 10·5) tuberculosis incident cases and 1·35 million (1·23 to 1·52) deaths due to tuberculosis in 2021. At the global level, the all-age tuberculosis incidence rate declined by 6·26% (5·27 to 7·25) between 2015 and 2020 (the WHO End TB strategy evaluation period). 15 of 204 countries achieved a 20% decrease in all-age tuberculosis incidence between 2015 and 2020, eight of which were in western sub-Saharan Africa. When stratified by age, global tuberculosis incidence rates decreased by 16·5% (14·8 to 18·4) in children younger than 5 years, 16·2% (14·2 to 17·9) in those aged 5–14 years, 6·29% (5·05 to 7·70) in those aged 15–49 years, 5·72% (4·02 to 7·39) in those aged 50–69 years, and 8·48% (6·74 to 10·4) in those aged 70 years and older, from 2015 to 2020. Global tuberculosis deaths decreased by 11·9% (5·77 to 17·0) from 2015 to 2020. 17 countries attained a 35% reduction in deaths due to tuberculosis between 2015 and 2020, most of which were in eastern Europe (six countries) and central Europe (four countries). There was variable progress by age: a 35·3% (26·7 to 41·7) decrease in tuberculosis deaths in children younger than 5 years, a 29·5% (25·5 to 34·1) decrease in those aged 5–14 years, a 15·2% (10·0 to 20·2) decrease in those aged 15–49 years, a 7·97% (0·472 to 14·1) decrease in those aged 50–69 years, and a 3·29% (–5·56 to 9·07) decrease in those aged 70 years and older. Removing the combined effects of the three attributable risk factors would have reduced the number of all-age tuberculosis deaths from 1·39 million (1·28 to 1·54) to 1·00 million (0·703 to 1·23) in 2020, representing a 36·5% (21·5 to 54·8) reduction in tuberculosis deaths compared to those observed in 2015. 41 countries were included in our analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tuberculosis deaths without HIV co-infection in 2020, and 20 countries were included in the analysis for 2021. In 2020, 50 900 (95% CI 49 700 to 52 400) deaths were expected across all ages, compared to an observed 45 500 deaths, corresponding to 5340 (4070 to 6920) fewer deaths; in 2021, 39 600 (38 300 to 41 100) deaths were expected across all ages compared to an observed 39 000 deaths, corresponding to 657 (–713 to 2180) fewer deaths. Interpretation: Despite accelerated progress in reducing the global burden of tuberculosis in the past decade, the world did not attain the first interim milestones of the WHO End TB Strategy in 2020. The pace of decline has been unequal with respect to age, with older adults (ie, those aged >50 years) having the slowest progress. As countries refine their national tuberculosis programmes and recalibrate for achieving the 2035 targets, they could consider learning from the strategies of countries that achieved the 2020 milestones, as well as consider targeted interventions to improve outcomes in older age groups. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
dc.language eng
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.title Global, regional, and national age-specific progress towards the 2020 milestones of the WHO End TB Strategy: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article


Files in this item

Files Size Format View

There are no files associated with this item.

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record

Search DSpace


Advanced Search

Browse

My Account